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Anger over ‘BP abandoning goal to cut oil output’; 2,000 jobs saved after TGI Fridays sale – business live


Anger over BP’s plan to “abandon oil and gas pledge”

BP is facing a backlash following reports this morning that it has abandoned its target to cut oil and gas production by 2030.

As covered earlier (see 8.10am), Reuters is reporting that CEO Murray Auchincloss is focused on projects in the Middle East and the Gulf of Mexico to boost output, rather than cutting oil and gas output by 25% by the end of the decade.

Philip Evans, Greenpeace UK senior climate campaigner, says:

“This is yet further proof that we cannot leave the future of our planet in the hands of fossil fuel bosses. It’s clear that BP CEO Murray Auchincloss is hell-bent on prioritising company profits and shareholder wealth above all else as extreme floods and wildfires rack up billions of dollars in damages, destroying homes and lives all over the world.

“Oil companies cannot be trusted to curtail their further destruction of the planet. We desperately need the UK government and leaders around the world to step in to bring these companies under control, put an end to their expansion, and place bold new polluter taxes on them to pay for the damage they are doing around the world.”

James Alexander, CEO of UKSIF (the UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association) is also unimpressed, saying:

“Most oil and gas majors have consistently failed to invest enough into transition technologies, setting targets and making claims that have often been abandoned or debunked.

The transition will not wait for them. The gap they have left is already being filled by renewables companies. It is increasingly dawning on investors that oil and gas companies that refuse to engage properly in the transition represent an unacceptable investment risk.”

Reclaim Finance stewardship campaigner Agathe Masson is urging shareholders to rein BP’s board in, saying:

“BP is throwing any pretence of climate action out of the window in pursuit of increased production, despite its previous ambition to cut production of oil and gas. BP might be happy to see the planet burn in the name of profits, but investors must take a longer view and reject this climate-wrecking strategy.

They must vote against the re-election of directors at the AGM to oppose this strategy, and act in the interests of net zero by refusing to provide new investments for fossil fuel developers. “

Key events

TGI Fridays sold, saving over 2,000 UK jobs

Breaking: More than 2,000 jobs have been saved at TGI Fridays restaurant chain, after private equity firms Calveton and Breal Capital stepped in to buy part of the chain.

The deal will save 51 of TGI Friday 87 UK restaurants, which should secure employment for almost half of the company’s 4,500 employees.

The sale comes less than a month after the TGI Fridays’ parent company, Hostmore, appointed the advisory firm Teneo as administrators.

Julie McEwan, chief executive of TGI Fridays UK, says:

“TGI Fridays is a much-loved brand with a rich heritage. The news today marks the start of a positive future for our business following a very challenging period for the casual dining sector as a whole. We look to the future with confidence that the TGI Fridays brand will continue to attract loyal and new guests.

“We are devastated for our colleagues who will be leaving TGIs and thank them for their loyalty and contribution during their time with us. We are doing everything possible to retain our team and support those impacted.

“We would like to thank our team and our loyal guests for supporting us during this transition. We are proud to serve millions of customers across the UK and are committed to continuing to evolve our proposition and to give our guests a great value for money experience that keeps them coming back to enjoy TGI Fridays time and again.”

But, the sale of part of TGI Fridays’ estate suggests that over 2,000 staff have lost their jobs.

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The Unite union have posted that staff have been reported being locked out of sites today with no notice, in what it calls “frankly appalling behaviour”.

🚨 BREAKING 🚨

Mass immediate closures at @TGIFridays across the UK.

Members have been furiously contacting us all morning in response to news that:

🤯Staff have been shut-out of sites & padlocks changed.
😡 Zero notice or redundancy consultation.
😤 Workers invited to head…

— Unite Hospitality (@FairHospitality) October 7, 2024

BP’s CEO Murray Auchincloss may hope to close the valuation gap with its rivals in the energy industry by watering down its commitment to sustainability goals.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, says:

“BP may feel it is being punished by the market for a strategy which included a 25% cut to oil and gas output by 2030 – already down from the original 40% reduction outlined in 2020 – so it appears this plan will now be ripped up completely.

“The problem with reducing hydrocarbon production is it generates most of the cash which allows BP to reward shareholders with dividends and share buybacks. There is speculation that BP will not only scrap the output reduction plan, but it will also seek to increase the volume of oil and gas it produces by investing in geographies like the Middle East and Gulf of Mexico

“Auchincloss needs to demonstrate he has a genuine plan apart from not doing what the market doesn’t like. If the reporting is correct, the company can expect to catch significant flak from regulators, politicians and environmental campaigners. However, that is probably easier to ignore than a stagnant share price.

JLR reports sales drop

Carmaker Jaguar Land Rover has reported a drop in sales in the last quarter, as it was hit by shortages of aluminium and a drop in demand in Europe and China.

JLR sold 103,108 units in the second quarter of the year, compared with 12 months earlier.

That included a 29% rise in sales in the UK, and a 9% rise in North America. However, sales fell by 22% in Europe, and by 17% in China.

JLR repors that its production in the last quarter fell by 7% year-on-year, as a result of “supply disruptions from a key high‑grade aluminium supplier” that affected multiple manufacturers.

That supplier was Switzerland’s Novelis, whose factory was hit by flooding in early August.

JLR also adds that a temporary hold was placed on around 6,500 vehicles, largely in the UK and Europe, at the end of September for additional quality control checks.

LME defeats Elliott Management in nickel crisis court battle

Jane Croft

The London Metal Exchange (LME) has won a legal victory at the court of appeal against a hedge fund which sued over its decision to cancel billions of dollars worth of nickel trades.

Hedge fund Elliott Associates had appealed an earlier court decision which found that the LME had acted lawfully over its decision-making during a crisis in the nickel market in March 2022 when there was a dramatic and unprecedented spike in nickel prices.

At the time the LME decided that the market had become disorderly, and that nickel trading should be suspended.

Elliott sued the LME at the high court alleging that the cancellation of trading was unlawful and outside the scope of the LME’s powers, and had violated Elliott’s human rights as it had caused the hedge fund to lose net profits of $456m. However the high court ruled last November that the LME’s decision had been lawful.

The hedge fund appealed but the court of appeal has now rejected its appeal on all grounds.

In the court’s ruling, Lord Justice Stephen Males, one of the three judges, ruled that “the cancellation was lawful as a matter of domestic law.”

He said:

“That was a once in a generation event. To have allowed the 8 March trades to stand would have meant a real risk of what has been graphically described as a ‘death spiral’ in the international metals market…”

Anger over BP’s plan to “abandon oil and gas pledge”

BP is facing a backlash following reports this morning that it has abandoned its target to cut oil and gas production by 2030.

As covered earlier (see 8.10am), Reuters is reporting that CEO Murray Auchincloss is focused on projects in the Middle East and the Gulf of Mexico to boost output, rather than cutting oil and gas output by 25% by the end of the decade.

Philip Evans, Greenpeace UK senior climate campaigner, says:

“This is yet further proof that we cannot leave the future of our planet in the hands of fossil fuel bosses. It’s clear that BP CEO Murray Auchincloss is hell-bent on prioritising company profits and shareholder wealth above all else as extreme floods and wildfires rack up billions of dollars in damages, destroying homes and lives all over the world.

“Oil companies cannot be trusted to curtail their further destruction of the planet. We desperately need the UK government and leaders around the world to step in to bring these companies under control, put an end to their expansion, and place bold new polluter taxes on them to pay for the damage they are doing around the world.”

James Alexander, CEO of UKSIF (the UK Sustainable Investment and Finance Association) is also unimpressed, saying:

“Most oil and gas majors have consistently failed to invest enough into transition technologies, setting targets and making claims that have often been abandoned or debunked.

The transition will not wait for them. The gap they have left is already being filled by renewables companies. It is increasingly dawning on investors that oil and gas companies that refuse to engage properly in the transition represent an unacceptable investment risk.”

Reclaim Finance stewardship campaigner Agathe Masson is urging shareholders to rein BP’s board in, saying:

“BP is throwing any pretence of climate action out of the window in pursuit of increased production, despite its previous ambition to cut production of oil and gas. BP might be happy to see the planet burn in the name of profits, but investors must take a longer view and reject this climate-wrecking strategy.

They must vote against the re-election of directors at the AGM to oppose this strategy, and act in the interests of net zero by refusing to provide new investments for fossil fuel developers. “

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John Lewis CEO steps back as chairman Tarry takes control

Over at John Lewis, CEO Nish Kankiwala is becoming a non-executive director at the retailer again, as new chairman Jason Tarry takes firm control of the business.

Three weeks after taking over as chair, replacing Sharon White, Tarry will now chair John Lewis’s executive team as well as the Partnership Board.

Kankiwala, a former Hovis and Burger King executive, had become John Lewis’s first CEO in March 2023 in an attempt to turn the business around.

Nineteen months later, the CEO role is being dispensed with, in a sign that Tarry – who ran Tesco’s UK and Irish operation for six years – will be running the John Lewis Partnership.

Kankiwala says:

“The Board asked me to move across from my Non-Executive Director role to Chief Executive back in March 2023. This was in view of such a significant time for the Partnership and to help accelerate this phase of the transformation. I was delighted to agree to take on the role for a two-year period during this time of pivotal change. Since then we’ve refreshed our Partnership strategy to be rooted in retail; significantly improved our cash flows to enable record investment for growth; and returned the Partnership to full-year profit.

“It’s been the privilege of my life to lead the Partnership as CEO during this period of intense transformation. I am hugely proud of what we’ve achieved so far – thanks to the hard work and dedication of our Partners. I have every confidence in Jason taking the Partnership from strength to strength in the next phase of our transformation and am delighted to continue to support him and the Board in an advisory capacity going forward.”

My colleague Nils Pratley pointed out back in April that it was hard to see where Kankiwala would fit in once Tarry arrived….

Further delays to Brexit border plans as safety form roll-out delayed

Jack Simpson

The government has confirmed another delay to post-Brexit border plans, with new rules requiring safety forms to be sent with all imports delayed by three months.

Part of the UK’s Border Target Operating Model (BTOM) plan, all imports were expected to include safety and security declaration forms from 31 October before they could enter the UK.

The forms used to assess the risk of products to UK security should include details of hauliers, descriptions of goods and details of the origins of products.

However, this has now been pushed back until 31 January amid concerns that businesses were not ready for the changes.

It is the latest in a long list of delays to Britain’s border plan after the introduction of border checks on plant and animal products was only introduced on 30 April after five delays.

Marco Forgione, director general of the Chartered Institute of Export and International Trade, said:

“This is not a surprise as industry has seen little in the way of guidance being issued on the third implementation of Border Target Operating Model (BTOM).

“The overall aim of the is to deliver a world-leading, digital first border system for the UK, not create more confusion and extra cost for business. We would urge the government to now step up the engagement programme in the lead up to the January deadline to ensure a smooth transition to the new checks.”

Alongside this, the government has also pushed back the introduction of the roll-out of its single trade window, a digital platform that allows traders to provide all import details in a single place. This was also set to be introduced on 31 October but has now been pushed back.

The German economy is expected to contract by 0.2% in 2024, an economy ministry spokesperson has said, confirming an earlier report in the Sueddeutsche Zeitung newspaper.

The forecast for an inflation-adjusted contraction, which the ministry is due to publish on Wednesday, follows a previous government projection of 0.3% growth this year, Reuters adds.

Pound hits three-week low

The pound has dropped to its lowest level in over three weeks against the US dollar this morning, as traders anticipate cuts to UK interest rates in the months ahead.

Sterling has lost half a cent this morning, to trade as low as $1.3064, its lowest since 12 September.

Investors have been digesting last week’s dovish words from Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey, who said the BoE could be a “bit more aggressive” in cutting interest rates if inflation news continued to be good.

The BoE’s chief economist, Huw Pill, then pushed back, warned on Friday against cutting interest rates “too far or too fast.

Goldman Sachs believes the debate on the Bank’s monetary policy committee is shifting away from whether cuts are appropriate towards how quickly policy restriction should be withdrawn.

They expect the Bank to cut rates by a quarter of one percentage point at each meeting for the next year.

Goldman told clients there is likely to be “widespread support” for a quarter-point cut at the November MPC meeting, and for another cut in December, adding:

We therefore continue to expect sequential 25bp cuts until Bank Rate reaches 3% in September 2025.

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Eurozone retail sales crept up by 0.2% in August, new data from Eurostat shows.

It was driven by a 1.1% rise in spending on automotive fuel, while sales of other non-food products rose 0.3%, and food, drink and tobacco sales were up 0.2%.

The highest monthly increases in the total retail trade volume were recorded in Luxembourg (+5.3%), Cyprus (+2.2%) and Romania (+1.6%). The largest decreases were observed in Denmark (-1.5%), Slovakia (-1.1%), Bulgaria and Croatia (both -0.7%).

Residential landlord Grainger reports rising rents

Back in the UK property sector, residential landlord Grainger has reported a jump in rents and predicted further growth over the year ahead.

Grainger, which is the UK’s largest residential landlord with about 12,000 homes, reported like-for-like rental growth of 6.3% for the year to the end of September, down from 7.7% in the previous year.

Grainger says it is benefitting from ‘“rapidly accelerating growth in demand”, which has kept its occupancy rate high – at 97.4%.

The company says it also faces a “Favourable political environment”, saying:

The newly elected Labour Government have publicly opposed introducing rent controls in favour of stimulating the housing supply-side and raising standards via the Renters’ Rights Bill which Grainger already exceeds, and legislation which Grainger is proactively engaged on

Grainger also points out that its CEO, Helen Gordon, has been. appointed to the UK Government’s New Towns Taskforce.

Eurozone investor morale picks up

Just in: Investor confidence across the euro area has risen this month, despite the economic problems in Germany.

After three declines in a row, Sentix’s gauge of eurozone investor morale has risen to -13.8 in October, from -15.4 in September.

Sentix reports that economic expectations rose this month, even as the current assessment of the economy plumbed a new low for the year, adding:

The economy is starting its next attempt to emerge from recession/stagnation.

The report found that all regions of the world are showing signs of improvement, although the German economy “remains in recession mode for the time being”.

Illustration: Sentix

Sentix’s Patrick Hussy says:

The German economy remains in recession. Here too, the current assessment figures remain close to the year’s lows. Expectations, on the other hand, show signs of easing with a plus of 6.8 points.

The new economic stimulus in China is having an initial effect – albeit only to a manageable extent so far.

Germany August Factory Orders m/m -5.8% (est -2.0%, last +3.9% from +2.9%)

Factory orders declined sharply after two consecutive positive months. End of Q2 and Q3 remain positive, but general picture is fragile, although stimulus in China (more targeted to HHs) could help. pic.twitter.com/BTyZDJdDj2

— Mario Cavaggioni (@CavaggioniMario) October 7, 2024

The 5.8% fall in German factory orders in August was the biggest drop since January:

Good Morning from Germany, where factory orders dropped by 5.8% MoM – the biggest decline since January – marking yet another setback for the industry in a year when Europe’s largest economy has struggled to achieve its much-anticipated recovery. Even if the 5.8% drop is partly… pic.twitter.com/OzIePsGAAt

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) October 7, 2024





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