On average, three-fourths of all parts used in electronics products in India are imported from China.
The US-China tariff war has significantly slowed fresh orders to Chinese manufacturers as global supply chains are reset following reciprocal tariffs imposed by the US, with the highest on China at 125%. Lower US demand for Chinese electronics goods will dampen demand for components as well. “Component manufacturers in China are under pressure,” said Kamal Nandi, head of the appliance business at Godrej Enterprises Group. “Prices will be renegotiated as export orders from the US slow down.”
The electronics industry operates on a two-three-month raw material inventory cycle. Companies will place fresh orders from May-June onward. India’s FY24 electronics component imports rose 36.7% to $34.4 billion from the year earlier, according to a recent GTRI report. They were up 118.2% over the last five years from $15.8 billion in FY19.
Oversupply Issue
China’s companies there are getting hit by oversupply, said Avneet Singh Marwah, chief executive of television contract manufacturer Super Plastronics.
“There is panic. US export shipments from China are on hold. Indian companies and Chinese part makers are negotiating to lower prices by up to 5%,” said Marwah, who has the India licence for Kodak, Thomson and Blaupunkt. “However, since domestic demand in India is not robust, companies may pass some as discounts.” Electrical and electronic equipment counted as the largest category of US imports from China in 2024, totalling $127.06 billion.Chinese suppliers are also facing demand issues in India as production-linked incentives, quality control orders (QCOs) that need to be obtained from the Bureau of Indian Standards before sourcing items from overseas and a gradual increase in import duties on components have started encouraging local production. According to the India Cellular and Electronics Association, India aims to grow its components and sub-assembly manufacturing to $145-155 billion by 2030, with the government notifying the Electronics Component Manufacturing Scheme on Tuesday. To be sure, India currently imports most critical electronic components such as chips, compressors, inner grooved copper tubes, open cell television panels, printed circuit boards, battery cells, display modules, camera modules and flexible printed circuits.Electronics manufacturer Dixon Technologies’ managing director Atul Lall said there will be a slowdown and a demand crunch in the US, which will lead to a price reduction on components. Dixon refreshes its component inventory every 15-30 days. Mobile phone market tracker Counterpoint Research director Tarun Pathak said smartphone component pricing will also decline due to oversupply, although not all parts are fungible.
“Brands may partly pass it on or absorb it, depending on inventory position. Almost 75% of the smartphone components used in India are imported from China,” Pathak said.
