ICO Group Limited (HKG:1460) Soars 32% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward – Simply Wall St

The ICO Group Limited (HKG:1460) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or “P/E’s”) above 10x, you may still consider ICO Group as an attractive investment with its 7.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it’s justified.

ICO Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it’s been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn’t eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for ICO Group

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on ICO Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For ICO Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, ICO Group would need to produce sluggish growth that’s trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 142% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 135% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company’s momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that ICO Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From ICO Group’s P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn’t enough to lift ICO Group’s P/E close to the market median. We’d say the price-to-earnings ratio’s power isn’t primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We’ve established that ICO Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don’t forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for ICO Group (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.